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Member's Forum Have you ever been way off on your technical predictions?
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Have you ever been way off on your technical predictions?

dougw
dougw over 1 year ago
  • Were you one of the many who thought the computer mouse would never catch on because it was slower and less precise than a keyboard?
  • Did you really expect a 2 TB microSD card to be available this year for $4 ?
  • Did you expect digital cameras to completely make film and videotape obsolete?
  • Did you expect an 85 inch UHD TV to be available weighing just 41 kg?
  • Did you ever expect to see PCBs fabricated in low volume for less than $1?
  • Did you ever expect a 3D printer to be available and cost less than $150?
  • Did you ever expect to see a smart phone with a 100 mpixel camera?
  • Did you find GPS to be a mind-altering revolution in navigation?
  • Did you predict that Apple's iphone would unseat all the big phone companies and make Apple the largest company in the world?

Some of these things simply blow my mind.

What technology blows your mind or surprises you?

  1. When do you expect to see dwellings built with automated enclosed landing ports that have security beacons for drone deliveries?
  2. When do you expect driverless aerial Uber drones to be legalized?
  3. When do you expect most people to have an AI as their family physician?
  4. When do you expect the majority of people to spend more time in the metaverse than they do in the real world?
  5. When will you have a digital ID that allows you to vote with your phone? (some places already have this)

Would you bet money that your predictions of any of these 5 dates are accurate?

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Top Replies

  • gordonmx
    gordonmx over 1 year ago +2
    Bubble memory is the storage of the future. (1980s)
  • dougw
    dougw over 1 year ago in reply to bradfordmiller +2
    Yes, DEC's demise was hard hard to understand and to take. In some ways it was unfortunate that they were so far ahead in microcomputer development - they had launched the LSI-11 micro in 1975, 6 years…
  • kmikemoo
    kmikemoo over 1 year ago +2
    I've thought about this one a lot. I'm almost never accurate with my "future predictions". My Mom, however, was definitely an "early adopter" when it came to tech. She was on Vontage before VoIP was mainstream…
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  • beacon_dave
    beacon_dave over 1 year ago

    It looks like there is some renewed interest in the AirCar project: 

       European flying car technology sold to China
       https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/technology-68669296

    however it will still likely require several non technology related 'ducks to be lined up in a row' for it to be successful. DuckDuckDuck

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  • anniel747
    anniel747 over 1 year ago in reply to beacon_dave

    Flying cars will be used at the Paris Olympics.

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  • beacon_dave
    beacon_dave over 1 year ago in reply to anniel747

    Perhaps a subtle difference but I think they are to be 'passenger carrying drones' rather than flying cars.

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  • beacon_dave
    beacon_dave over 1 year ago in reply to anniel747

    Perhaps a subtle difference but I think they are to be 'passenger carrying drones' rather than flying cars.

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  • anniel747
    anniel747 over 1 year ago in reply to beacon_dave

    I think you are right, drones replaces cars.

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