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Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning
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Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning
Forum This is how I compare Laplace Conjecture with AI Hype Conjecture
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  • Laplace Conjecture vs AI Conjecture
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This is how I compare Laplace Conjecture with AI Hype Conjecture

HKPhysicist
HKPhysicist 1 month ago
  • Laplace Conjecture: If you gave me a long enough rigid stick and a fulcrum, I were able to displace the Earth.

At that time, Laplace's Conjecture was believed to be very true from the viewpoint of mechanical world.

100 years later, his conjecture was disproved by a completely new space-time structure - the relativistic space-time structure rigorously proven by every experiment having been done yet.

  • AI Big Hype Conjecture: If we could get enough processing power (resources, investment and finally, money of course), our data centres and their software would finally turn out to be omnipotent.

However, those AI big hype corps cannot even estimate a formula of their conjecture.

  • "Total Volume of Context Stored represents Intelligence and Skill"

This is another conjecture always boosted by AI Big Hype corps.  Here is how a net buddy responds to the above conjecture (credit to him):

If a land-based continental creature (for instance, a chimpanzee) reads all the swimming tutorials which human have ever authored, does it imply that the chimpanzee could swim as well as the swimming trainers?

  • In the future, there are only 2 sets of people left - one set who knows AI and the other set who doesn't.

The implication of this statement is that - if you do not learn AI and pay money to buy AI services right now, you will belong to the 2nd set - the set of poor people.

This is how I respond to the above statement with these analogies:

  1. After the invention of vehicle driven by combustion engine, people were divided into 2 sets - the one who could drive and another set of people who could not drive.  As we know, professional drivers are usually considered as labours; while some very rich people might even do not need to drive a car.
  2. so many similar analogies.
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  • DAB
    DAB 1 month ago

    You make the assumption that AI will succeed.

    I have been following AI for nearly 50 years and in all of that time, it has yet to produce what I call a killer app.

    Yes there are some fancy tools that people say are AI, but so far I have been underwhelmed.

    There are far more things in the world that will work without AI then there are things that will be done by AI.

    Until AI is verified and validated, it is a very dangerous piece of software. It is only when it gets you into trouble, not if.

    When I see a useful product out of AI I will evaluate it, but it will have a high bar to reach before I am willing to pay money to use one.

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  • DAB
    DAB 1 month ago

    You make the assumption that AI will succeed.

    I have been following AI for nearly 50 years and in all of that time, it has yet to produce what I call a killer app.

    Yes there are some fancy tools that people say are AI, but so far I have been underwhelmed.

    There are far more things in the world that will work without AI then there are things that will be done by AI.

    Until AI is verified and validated, it is a very dangerous piece of software. It is only when it gets you into trouble, not if.

    When I see a useful product out of AI I will evaluate it, but it will have a high bar to reach before I am willing to pay money to use one.

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  • SensoredHacker0
    SensoredHacker0 10 hours ago in reply to DAB

    AI has succeeded. the userspace of AI is more of the fad. Im looking at AI as a means to get data. from that perspective, AI has been wildly successful. what if the user wants data about a proprietary thing? lol flag it!

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  • kmikemoo
    kmikemoo 30 days ago in reply to DAB

    I think "AI" is such an ambiguous and ill-defined concept that it can succeed and fail at the same time.  Those segments that fail will be defined as hype and those that succeed will just become part of what we do - like the "decision systems" of the 1980's.

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